Executive Summary
NVIDIA's stock has surged 25% in the past month, highlighting the ongoing AI boom that has driven the company's shares up over 165% this year. While it's natural to feel like you've missed out on these spectacular gains, our diversified investment approach ensures you participate in market growth while avoiding the concentrated risks that come with betting everything on individual stocks. Remember: building lasting wealth is about consistent, steady progress rather than trying to hit home runs.
This Week in the News
The artificial intelligence boom is showing no signs of slowing down, and NVIDIA is once again making headlines. The chip giant's stock has surged an impressive 25% in just the past month, bringing it tantalizingly close to its all-time high of $135.58 set back in June. To put this in perspective, NVIDIA shares have skyrocketed over 165% this year alone – and that's on top of tripling in value during 2023.
What's driving this incredible momentum? It's simple: everyone wants what NVIDIA is selling. The company has essentially cornered the market on the specialized chips that power artificial intelligence applications, holding an estimated 95% market share in AI training and inference chips for data centers. Companies like Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Oracle, and OpenAI are all racing to build the next generation of AI products, and they all need NVIDIA's graphics processing units (GPUs) to make it happen.
The numbers from NVIDIA's latest earnings report tell a remarkable story. Revenue jumped 122% year-over-year, while net income more than doubled to $16.6 billion. But here's what's really eye-catching: demand for their upcoming Blackwell AI chip is so intense that CEO Jensen Huang described it as "insane." These chips will cost between $30,000 and $40,000 per unit, and companies are lining up to buy them.
NVIDIA has now surpassed Microsoft to become the second-most valuable company in the world, trailing only Apple. The company is essentially the pickaxe seller in the AI gold rush – while everyone else is digging for gold, NVIDIA is making money selling the tools they need to dig.
How This Affects You: Why We Don't Put All Our Eggs in One Basket
I get it. Looking at NVIDIA's performance, it's natural to think, "Why didn't I put everything into this stock? I could have tripled my money!" This feeling of missing out is completely human and understandable. But let me share why we don't chase these kinds of spectacular individual stock performances, even when they seem obvious in hindsight.
First, remember that for every NVIDIA, there are dozens of companies that were supposed to be "the next big thing" but never materialized. Think about all the dot-com darlings from the late 90s that promised to revolutionize everything but ended up worthless. Or consider how many "sure thing" energy stocks crashed when oil prices collapsed. Picking individual winners consistently is incredibly difficult, even for professional investors.
Here's the thing about NVIDIA's success: it's built on one primary trend – the AI boom. While this trend is powerful and likely to continue, it's also concentrated. What happens if AI development slows? What if a competitor develops better technology? What if export restrictions to China (one of NVIDIA's key markets) tighten further? Any of these scenarios could significantly impact the stock price.
Our investment approach is built on a different foundation. Instead of trying to predict which individual companies will be the next NVIDIA, we focus on capturing the returns of entire markets through diversification. This means when NVIDIA does well, you participate in that success through your total stock market exposure. But you're also protected when individual companies or sectors struggle.
Consider this: while NVIDIA has been the star performer, the overall stock market has also done quite well. The key difference is that market returns come with much less risk because they're spread across thousands of companies, not concentrated in just one.
The evidence is clear that trying to time markets or pick individual winners generally leads to lower returns over time, not higher ones. Most investors who try to chase performance end up buying high and selling low, missing out on the steady, compound growth that builds real wealth over decades.
Your portfolio is designed to capture market returns while managing risk appropriately for your situation. That means you'll participate in the growth of innovative companies like NVIDIA, but you won't be devastated if any single company or sector struggles. This approach might not give you bragging rights at dinner parties, but it's much more likely to help you reach your long-term financial goals and fund the retirement you're dreaming of.
Remember, building wealth isn't about hitting home runs – it's about consistently getting on base, year after year, decade after decade.
As always, this general information doesn't constitute personalized financial advice. Feel free to reach out if you'd like to discuss how any of these developments might affect your specific financial plan.